Weekly Economic Update – April 3, 2017

WEEKLY QUOTE

“Success is not the key to happiness. Happiness is the key to success. If you love what you are doing, you will be successful.” – Albert Schweitzer

WEEKLY TIP

When financing a new car purchase, try applying for a loan before you shop for a vehicle. Preapproval gives you negotiating strength – you can challenge the dealership to beat the financing you have already lined up.

WEEKLY RIDDLE

What contains thousands of ears, but hears absolutely nothing?

Last week’s riddle:

I am a word of four letters. I begin and end with the same letter. Take my beginning and ending letters away and I am a friendly greeting rather than a place. What word am I?

Last week’s answer:

Ohio.

PERSONAL SPENDING SLOWS

Consumers apparently chose saving over spending in the second month of the year. Last week, a Department of Commerce report noted only a 0.1% gain for personal spending in February. That happened even with personal incomes rising 0.4%, nearly matching the 0.5% January advance. In other news concerning personal spending, the Bureau of Economic Analysis raised its estimate of fourth-quarter GDP to a final reading of 2.1% from the previous 1.9%.1

HOUSEHOLDS MAINTAIN THEIR OPTIMISM

The Conference Board’s much-watched consumer confidence index came in at 125.6 for March, soaring 9.5 points to a level unseen since December 2000. Economists polled by Reuters expected the index to descend slightly to 114.0. Losing 0.7 points from its preliminary March result, the University of Michigan’s household sentiment index remained high at 96.9.1,2

A BOOST FOR PENDING HOME SALES

Housing contract activity increased 5.5% in February by the estimate of the National Association of Realtors, more than reversing January’s 2.8% decline. The latest S&P/Case-Shiller 20-city home price index (January) showed a 0.2% seasonally adjusted monthly gain and a 5.7% year-over-year improvement.1

A GREAT QUARTER ENDS WITH GAINS

The past five trading days left the three major indices higher: during March 27-31, the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.42%; the S&P 500, 0.80%; and the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 0.32%. The quarter-ending settlements: Dow, 20,663.22; Nasdaq, 5,911.74; S&P, 2,362.72. Of the three, only the Nasdaq had a winning March, but the year-to-date column in the table below confirms the strength of the first quarter.3

THIS WEEK: Monday, the Institute for Supply Management releases its March manufacturing PMI. A report on February factory orders appears Tuesday. Wednesday, investors consider minutes from the March Federal Reserve policy meeting, the latest ISM service sector PMI, a fresh ADP payrolls report, and earnings from Bed Bath & Beyond, Monsanto, Rite Aid, and Walgreens Boots Alliance. The March Challenger job-cut report and new initial claims figures arrive Thursday, along with earnings from CarMax, Constellation Brands, Fred’s, Ruby Tuesday, and WD-40. The Department of Labor issues its March employment report on Friday.

% CHANGE Y-T-D 1-YR CHG 5-YR AVG 10-YR AVG
DJIA +4.56 +16.84 +11.28 +6.73
NASDAQ +9.82 +21.39 +18.24 +14.41
S&P 500 +5.53 +14.71 +13.55 +6.63
REAL YIELD 3/31 RATE 1 YR AGO 5 YRS AGO 10 YRS AGO
10 YR TIPS 0.43% 0.16% -0.09% 2.21%

Sources: wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov – 3/31/173,4,5,6

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

Best regards,

Greg R. Solis, AIF®
President and CEO

Bob Medler, CRPC, CMFC, AIF®
Wealth Advisor / Investment Analyst

78-075 Main Street
Suite 204
La Quinta, CA 92253
Office: (760) 771-3339
Fax: (760) 771-3181

www.soliswealth.com
E-Mail: greg.solis@lpl.com
E-Mail: robert.medler@lpl.com
CA Insurance License #0795867

The Wealth Advisors of Solis Wealth Management are also Registered Representatives with and securities and advisory services are offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Advisor. Member FINRA/SIPC

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This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note – investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested. This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results.

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Citations.

1 – investing.com/economic-calendar/ [3/31/17]
2 – cnbc.com/2017/03/28/us-consumer-confidence-hits-1256-in-march-vs-estimate-of-114.html [3/28/17]
3 – markets.wsj.com/us [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=3%2F31%2F16&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=3%2F31%2F16&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=3%2F31%2F16&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=3%2F30%2F12&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=3%2F30%2F12&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=3%2F30%2F12&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=DJIA&closeDate=3%2F30%2F07&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=COMP&closeDate=3%2F30%2F07&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
4 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?symb=SPX&closeDate=3%2F30%2F07&x=0&y=0 [3/31/17]
5 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyield [3/31/17]
6 – treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=realyieldAll [3/31/17]